Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.010584 0.012284 0.014160 0.016384 0.018946 0.021805 0.025237
2026-02-08 0.007889 0.010040 0.012631 0.015978 0.020184 0.025289 0.031956
2026-02-15 0.006042 0.008330 0.011303 0.015440 0.021038 0.028342 0.038590
2026-02-22 0.005110 0.007558 0.010956 0.016000 0.023282 0.033393 0.048486
2026-03-01 0.004238 0.006676 0.010269 0.015922 0.024566 0.037256 0.057268
2026-03-08 0.003446 0.005754 0.009343 0.015297 0.024890 0.039701 0.064250
2026-03-15 0.002930 0.005158 0.008799 0.015139 0.025851 0.043158 0.073165
2026-03-22 0.002687 0.004963 0.008856 0.015935 0.028424 0.049447 0.087401
2026-03-29 0.002421 0.004681 0.008711 0.016349 0.030376 0.054915 0.100920
2026-04-05 0.002078 0.004196 0.008133 0.015894 0.030707 0.057592 0.109847
2026-04-12 0.001821 0.003833 0.007718 0.015668 0.031405 0.060967 0.120399
2026-04-19 0.001577 0.003455 0.007219 0.015200 0.031558 0.063316 0.129264
2026-04-26 0.001380 0.003147 0.006820 0.014891 0.032015 0.066366 0.140012
2026-05-03 0.001225 0.002902 0.006516 0.014733 0.032756 0.070062 0.152529
2026-05-10 0.001072 0.002638 0.006131 0.014344 0.032952 0.072662 0.163095
2026-05-17 0.001011 0.002576 0.006182 0.014925 0.035335 0.080133 0.184986
2026-05-24 0.000914 0.002411 0.005974 0.014883 0.036309 0.084666 0.200968
2026-05-31 0.000797 0.002177 0.005568 0.014313 0.035975 0.086246 0.210455
2026-06-07 0.000718 0.002030 0.005352 0.014172 0.036646 0.090188 0.225902
2026-06-14 0.000694 0.002023 0.005484 0.014924 0.039605 0.099838 0.256122
2026-06-21 0.000654 0.001965 0.005477 0.015315 0.041703 0.107663 0.282815
2026-06-28 0.000582 0.001805 0.005178 0.014889 0.041630 0.110129 0.296393
2026-07-05 0.000527 0.001685 0.004969 0.014678 0.042099 0.114015 0.314076